Cuba Politics

Officials warn of need to plan for social chaos in a post-Castro Cuba

Posted January 20, 2004 by publisher in Cuba Politics.

By Frank Davies | .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) | Knight Ridder

WASHINGTON - A top U.S. official and several public health experts Friday warned of the urgent need to plan for social chaos, severe shortages and a possible refugee crisis in a post-Castro Cuba.

‘‘There’s a real possibility of a complex emergency’’ after Castro, including ‘‘a high risk of chaotic migration,’’ U.S. Agency for International Development administrator Andrew Natsios told a conference on the future of Cuba.

Two health experts, Richard Garfield and Frederick Burkle, said that Cuba’s health-care system, reputed to be one of the best in Latin America, is also fragile, short of essential medicines and very vulnerable to political instability.

Natsios is participating in a commission, chaired by Secretary of State Colin Powell, to study ways to get humanitarian aid to Cuba. The commission’s report to President Bush is due May 1.

The conference Friday was sponsored by the Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies at the University of Miami. The institute gets substantial funding from the U.S. AID.

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