Back in May of 2007 I created the post Why there might be chaos after Fidel Castro’s death - prediction and it ran up to 127 comments. I listed more than 20 reasons why I thought then and still believe now that there will be chaos in Cuba after the announcement of Fidel’s death.
I think this chaos might be avoided if Carlos Lage is elected President.
If Carlos Lage is elected President of Cuba, this is good for many reasons (mind you my best scenario is a truly democratic election but I don’t see that until both Castro are out of the picture physically)
So, If Carlos Lage is elected this would allow Fidel to have an honorary roll while still being able to tell President Lage what to do. This scenario would also allow Raul to step out of the international public eye and go back to running the military and the travel industry also allowing him to tell President Lage what to do.
Sure Lage would make overtures of openness to the Cuban economy, political freedoms and maybe even offer to negotiate with a new US Administration but of course will have his hands tied by TWO puppet masters.
This would be a tough job for Lage and I doubt that he (or anyone) could survive for too long politically (or mentally) in this position.
But, I believe this is the best way to transition away from Fidel Castro’s Revolution and give some (probably false) sense of hope to the Cuban people and (mis)lead US politicians to believe that a new Cuba is underway.
So, do you think Carlos Lage will be the next President of Cuba and do you think this will be the start of a real or perceived change in Cuba?