Rob Sequin | Publisher | Havana Journal
This is not a fully thought out concept but here’s what recently dawned on me.
The Cuban American exile community has always wanted Fidel Castro to be the President of Cuba.
Think about it. Why would they back the failed Plan A Embargo for more than forty years? It has never worked and they were never open to any Plan B. They know full well that Fidel Castro has always used “El Bloqueo” to rally the Cuban people in support of Fidel’s policies. The Embargo has kept Fidel Castro in office for 40+ years.
I think the answer is that they have wanted Castro in power so they could buy access to the President of the United States. Cuban exiles have made large contributions to every Presidential candidate since Kennedy, democrats and republicans (I don’t have the facts though) so they could have the President’s ear when elected. Florida is such an influential state and Cuban Americans are such a large voting block, all Presidents and candidates for President have had to listen to them.
There is also another reason that the Cuban American exiles wanted Fidel Castro to stay in power. Money. Miami and many organizations in Miami gets LOTS of US government funding to study and encourage regime change in Cuba. LOTS of USAID and government funding for educational institutions. This money trickles through the entire community of Miami. The end of the Embargo will mean the end of funding to encourage “regime change” in Cuba.
One more reason is tourism. When Cuba is open to US tourists, how many will pass by Miami and spend time in Havana. My answer is LOTS. The entire state of Florida will see a decrease in tourism and tourist dollars because many who would go to Miami for sun and fun will go down to Havana.
One more reason is real estate values. Miami investors will look to Havana for investments in real estate taking dollars away from investments that would have been planned in Miami. Also, what happens when Miami residents start selling their homes in order to move to Cuba?
One more reason is immigrants. How many Cubans will want to come to Miami after the Embargo (and Castro in this case)? What will they bring with them? The shirts on their back for the most part. That means that the city of Miami and the residents will have to take care of the immigrants causing a financial strain on the city.
So, what happens when Fidel Castro, Raul Castro and the Embargo are all in the history books?
1. No more Presidential election influence from Cuban exiles.
2. No more aid to Cuban exiles.
3. Loss of tourism revenue to Miami and the entire state of Florida.
4. Drop in real estate values and investments.
5. Increase in spending to accommodate the new Cuban immigrants.
I’m surprised that I have not thought of this earlier. Seems so obvious as the end of Fidel Castro and the Embargo comes to an end.
So, in my opinion, the Embargo has really always been about political power, government aid, tourism and real estate values in Miami and ultimately all of Florida.
Secretly and under their breath you can hear all of Miami saying “Viva Fidel”.